Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.007655 0.009017 0.010654 0.012797 0.015577 0.019132 0.024143
2025-03-23 0.005859 0.007450 0.009586 0.012770 0.017600 0.025042 0.038294
2025-03-30 0.004763 0.006340 0.008606 0.012281 0.018494 0.029506 0.053362
2025-04-06 0.004096 0.005642 0.007983 0.012041 0.019551 0.034630 0.074209
2025-04-13 0.003712 0.005273 0.007751 0.012327 0.021585 0.042764 0.112240
2025-04-20 0.003487 0.005102 0.007787 0.013067 0.024798 0.055865 0.191113
2025-04-27 0.003261 0.004888 0.007698 0.013536 0.027637 0.070617 0.326838
2025-05-04 0.003009 0.004594 0.007414 0.013525 0.029323 0.083703 0.528703
2025-05-11 0.002796 0.004337 0.007153 0.013497 0.030979 0.098895 0.905293
2025-05-18 0.002582 0.004055 0.006802 0.013181 0.031691 0.111421 1.495032
2025-05-25 0.002362 0.003742 0.006348 0.012529 0.031121 0.117461 2.193839
2025-06-01 0.002182 0.003483 0.005975 0.012005 0.030801 0.125083 3.488484
2025-06-08 0.002066 0.003349 0.005871 0.012220 0.033497 0.159478 15.012554
2025-06-15 0.001941 0.003189 0.005694 0.012227 0.035588 0.198157 211.320000
2025-06-22 0.001797 0.002975 0.005374 0.011768 0.035615 0.221126 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001685 0.002816 0.005153 0.011541 0.036568 0.260050 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001619 0.002740 0.005107 0.011811 0.040041 0.354299 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001584 0.002722 0.005192 0.012509 0.046378 0.570525 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001536 0.002673 0.005194 0.012951 0.051940 0.895358 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001468 0.002576 0.005070 0.012940 0.054865 1.243966 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001405 0.002485 0.004948 0.012914 0.057804 1.774658 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001335 0.002373 0.004763 0.012616 0.058616 2.274643 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001256 0.002238 0.004504 0.012001 0.056591 2.426693 NaN